RSEQ Stats week 2
Last week I shared a graphic indicating league standings for the RSEQ. I’ve updated the standings to reflect the 3 squads that competed at Western last weekend. Next week I will add in the Sherbrooke results.
What can be said about these numbers? Well, on the women’s side, McGill seems to be untouchable. Concordia currently sits in second place, but Laval and Sherbrooke have yet to run their full teams. It seems unlikely any of these teams will catch the Martlets. McGill has an average finishing place of just under 4th against the league. Concordia, Laval and Sherbrooke all average in the top 20, though Sherbrooke has fewer overall finishes. The red ladies are competing in a different league here: their focus is on a CIS podium. The battle for 2nd in the Q though, seems to be up for grabs.
The men’s side seems to be a tight race between Laval and McGill, however what we are seeing here is McGill having a great race on their home meet, against a depleted Laval squad, and Laval dominating the Redmen at Western. The Laval men are similar to the McGill women: they are aiming at a CIS podium, and should win the Q easily. But we will see.
I’ve also compiled some individual stats. Here are the top ten “ranked” runners based on races so far. All I’ve done is taken the number of seconds behind the leader for each athlete, and done a weighted average (based on how long the race was) to get the order. For now, those who’ve only raced once might be heavily advantaged or disadvantaged, depending.
It is clear that Jess Porfilio (McGill) is the runaway leader on the women’s side, though her teammate Caroline Pfister was actually closer (3seconds) in the longer race at Western. A quick glance at the ladies table confirms the team standings, as McGill has locked down the first 7 spots (Alison Barwick finished ahead of both Laval runners at Western, she just got bumped down because of the average, so it could be a sweep of the top 8!). A true all-star team!
The guys side is a little more diverse. The only man to have run two races so far is Concordia’s Ryan Noel-Hodge. And the only man to have beaten Noel-Hodge is Charles Philibert-Thibotout. The individual title could come down to these two, but not included in the list, because neither have raced yet, are Jean-Samuel Lapointe of Laval (2011 champion) and Olivier Lavoie of Sherbrooke (2010 champion). The men’s field is tight, although after Boisvert, the interval drops off to almost a minute, so we can have a pretty good idea of who is going to be in the top 6. We just don’t know what order yet.
Sep 28, 2012 @ 21:04:19
John,
Since Université de Montréal is not an “official” team; I think they should not be taken into account in your rankink, neither in the ranking in the races.
Then, maybe it will put somme pressure on UdeM administration to have an official one
Sep 29, 2012 @ 13:35:43
I thought about it, but since these aren’t “official” rankings, there’s no reason to exclude UdeM for not being an “official” team.