RSEQ Stats Week 4

Finally, another installment of the Quebec conference stats. The Sherbrooke results were very late coming out, and the Rouge et Or race results still contain errors, but I’ll correct things later if need be. Most runners have done at least two races, some three, and a couple (including league leader Caroline Pfister of McGill and her teammate Evelyn Anderson) have raced four times already.

I’ve done a kind of weighted average of the number of seconds behind the lead for each runner (for the men’s race in Sherbrooke I adjusted for the fact that the top runners were not present). Based on that, we can have an idea of where people stand heading into the conference championship.

Men’s individual stats:

On the men’s side, Charles Philibert-Thiboutot of Laval leads by a weighted 4 seconds over Concordia’s Ryan Noel-Hodge. Emmanuel Boisvert is third, 14 seconds back. After that, Ben Raymond of McGill and Phillipe Soucy of UQAM break up the Rouge et Or hegemony.

Women’s individual stats:

There’s much less ambiguity on the women’s side. Within 56 weighted seconds, all seven of McGill’s scorers top the charts. With a pair of wins each, Caroline Pfister and Jessica Porfilio should have a nice little race to determine who will be the conference champ. The most recent results would indicate Pfister is the favourite, but maybe one less race will give Porfilio fresh legs?

Team Standings:

In terms of how the team standings will play out, I’m not sure this graphic is indicative, as it includes scores from partial teams, across the board. Still, the leaders are clear: McGill and Laval are the teams to beat. The women’s race for second is close, and despite being in front here, one might suspect Laval has the advantage. On the men’s side, despite McGill being the runner-up for now, what you don’t see is a couple of Sherbrooke runners just out of the individual top ten, and the potential for Lavoie to make an appearance. Considering how little the Vert et Or have raced, we don’t really know enough to count them out just yet. It could be nothing, but there could be a surprise in store…