CIS Preview: Distance Events/Épreuves de fond

Here are some brief previews of what we might expect to see at CIS in Sherbrooke this weekend. Comment les Québecois feront pour remporter des medailles ici, chez nous?

600m
Hommes: Start List
1 Ostapowich, Jaden University of Alberta 1:19.13 S
2 Leitch, Scott University of Western Ontario 1:19.15 S
3 Eldridge, Dustin University of Windsor 1:19.77 C
4 Trnkus, Michael University of Toronto 1:19.80 C
5 Nicol, Scott University of Calgary 1:19.88
6 Durand, Zach University of Manitoba 1:19.98 C
7 Nystuen, Tait University of Regina 1:20.11
8 Blades, Justin Dalhousie University 1:20.11 C
9 Tome, Mitch University of Windsor 1:20.33
10 Langridge, Jordan University of Windsor 1:20.69
11 Nishiyama, Michael Queen’s University 1:20.69
12 Raymond, Mathieu Université Laval 1:21.15 C

On voit que le représentant du Québec, Mathieu Raymond, est le dernier sur la liste, mais avec un spread de seulment 2 sec, c’est sur que la course va être chaudement disputé par tout les athlètes. Si Raymond peut s’en sortir des vagues, il aura une chance pour le podium. As close as the rankings are, I find it hard to believe that anyone will beat out Leitch or Ostapowich for the top two spots, but it seems to me that bronze medal is up for grabs, and it’s anyone’s guess who gets into the final.

600m
Femmes: Start List
1 Bishop, Melissa University of Windsor 1:31.71 S
2 Aubry, Rachel University of Guelph 1:32.36 S
3 Soderberg, Nicole University of Alberta 1:32.81 S
4 Tousaw, Julia University of Ottawa 1:33.00 S
5 Kanters, Amanda University of Windsor 1:33.00 S
6 Hunter, Raeleen University of Windsor 1:33.14
7 Kendall, Danielle University of Calgary 1:33.40
8 Kurpe, Heather University of Windsor 1:34.00
9 Serafini, Rosa University of Toronto 1:34.14
10 Momoh, Nana Universite de Sherbrooke 1:34.26 C
11 Slegers, Andrina University of Windsor 1:34.33
12 Pomfret, Kendra University of Victoria 1:34.77

Encore avec les femmes, on peut voir que c’est serré. Peut-être que Bishop est un peu plus la préférée, mais après elle, il n’y a pas un très grand écart entre ces coureures. Nana Momoh pourra bien bénificié du home-track advantage, car on sait que le Vert et Or et ses partisants vont l’encourager en masse. Same as with the guys: it’s going to be a roller-derby to get into the final, and after that, probably two of the three podium spots could be surprises.

1000m
Hommes: Start List
1 Ostapowich, Jaden University of Alberta 2:23.66 S
2 Lapointe, Jean-Samuel Université Laval 2:24.82 S
3 Nicol, Scott University of Calgary 2:24.95 S
4 Berkis, Anthony University of Windsor 2:25.18 S
5 Brown, Alastair Lakehead University 2:25.92 C
6 Boulay, Benoit University of Guelph 2:26.01
7 Gorman, Dan Dalhousie University 2:26.37 C
8 Tome, Mitch University of Windsor 2:26.55
9 Kellar, Adam University of Windsor 2:26.56
10 Raymond, Mathieu Université Laval 2:29.69 C

Jean-Samuel Lapointe peut peut-être surprendre Ostapowich ici. J.S. va être bien reposer, et ça sera sa première course du fin-de-semaine. Nicol aussi aurait couru Jeudi soir. Watch for Lapointe. I think he got a hair cut, so he’s less shaggy-looking, but the kid’s got Prefontaine’s blood running in him. The other Quebec runner, Raymond, sneaking in on a conference berth, is likely too far behind the pack to have a reasonable shot. With the rest of the field already having a 3 second advantage over him, Raymond is going to be hard-pressed to be in the mix here. In fact, I would not be surprised to see him step off, or cruise a little bit, in order to be ready for the 4×800 just two hours later. En effet, le vrai histoire du 1000m va être c’est qui qui est assez fort pour allez all-out dans l’eventment individuel, et puis récupérer pour le relai. Windsor has three guys in this event, and another three entries in the 600m. Tome will double so that leaves 5. Windsor is startlingly deep. That gives them the luxury of having a couple guys go for the individual wins. Watch out for the Lancers here.

1000m
Femmes: Start List
1 Bishop, Melissa University of Windsor 2:45.73 S
2 Hunter, Raeleen University of Windsor 2:47.13 S
3 Degaust, Hayley University of Alberta 2:49.70 S
4 MacDonald, Madeline University of Calgary 2:49.88 S
5 Aubry, Rachel University of Guelph 2:49.92 S
6 Soderberg, Nicole University of Alberta 2:49.94 S
7 Biewald, Jennie University of Guelph 2:50.36
8 Frost, Lydia University of Guelph 2:51.07
9 Frost, Nadine University of Guelph 2:51.55
10 Bays, Jennifer University of Western Ontario 2:52.45

Pas de coureures Québecoises ici. The story in the women’s 1k is the four Guelph runners, and again, the ramifications for the 4x800m. Only Aubry is going the night before. The two Windsor girls look like they’ve got a big gap on the field, but in a championship race, it could come down to a kick.

3000m
Hommes: Start List
1 Boorsma, Kyle University of Guelph 8:10.00 S
2 Walters, Matt University of Windsor 8:14.34 S
3 Genest, Alex University of Guelph 8:14.96 S
4 Proudfoot, Ross University of Guelph 8:16.95 S
5 Weston, Dave University of Windsor 8:17.59 S
6 Nixon, Andrew University of Guelph 8:18.75 S
7 Brett, Allan University of Guelph 8:20.03 S
8 Janikowski, Paul University of Windsor 8:20.75 C
9 Childs, Cliff University of Victoria 8:22.97
10 Phillibert-Thiboutot, Charles Universite Laval 8:23.06
11 Lavoie, Olivier Universite de Sherbrooke 8:23.95 C
12 LeBoeuf, Maxime University of Alberta 8:24.40 C

Deux histoires intéressants pour le Québec dans ce 3000m fourré de vitesse. Pour Olivier Lavoie, so seed to 8:23 semble un peu slow, comparé aux Ontariens, sauf qu’il ne faux pas oublier qu’il a courru ce temps in Décembre, avec un départ un peut lent. En plus, Lavoie n’a pas fait trop de compés cet hiver, et en plus, le home-track du Vert et Or…If it is a sit-and-kick race, and these things usually are, then Oli could very well sneak in for a medal. If it goes out below 4:10, he might get dropped in the last kilometer, but if the first 1500m is around 4:12-15, then I can see him going low-4:00 to close. De sa part, Charles Philibert-Thiboutot devra être très fier de ça saison. Pour un recrue de se rendre au CIS, c’est quelque chose. Charles’s best hope is that the guys from Guelph and Windsor are just tactical enough to allow him to realistically hang on, but not so slow as to make it a kick. He’s got good speed over 1500m, but he’s a rhythm runner. As for calling the win, you know Genest would like to take the title on home soil. And you know Boorsma wants to go out a champ. Where have we seen this before? Oh, yeah, in Sherbrooke, in November. Maybe this time one of the Windsor guys will spoil the party.

3000m
Femmes: Start List
1 Cliff, Rachel University of Guelph 9:21.38 S
2 Coates, Victoria McMaster University 9:46.93
3 Laurie, Courtney University of Guelph 9:47.26
4 Giovannetti, Sara McMaster University 9:48.42 C
5 Stewart, Gina Dalhousie University 9:51.00
6 Furtado, Lindsay University of Guelph 9:52.09
7 Thompson, Carise University of Guelph 9:52.84
8 Roske, Alicia University of Victoria 9:55.45 C
9 Larocque, Leah Queen’s University 9:57.17
10 Bergeron-Larouche, Sarah University of Alberta 9:57.24 C
11 Kannenberg, Natalie St. Francis Xavier University 10:03.90 C
12 Lobigs, Louisa McGill University 10:07.65 C

It doesn’t look like anyone is going to touch Rachel Cliff this year. Unless Coates or Laurie have been holding something back, that 20+second gap is too much. The lone Quebec representative from McGill, Louisa Lobigs is going to be hanging off the pack, hoping to get pulled to a good time. Meanwhile, she, and about half the field, should look over their shoulders because Cliff might end up lapping them!

4x800m
Hommes: Start List
1 University of Calgary 7:38.50 S
2 University of Victoria 7:39.63 S
3 University of Windsor 7:40.46 S
4 University of Manitoba 7:43.42 C
5 Queen’s University 7:43.62
6 University of Toronto 7:43.83
7 University of Guelph 7:44.25
8 University of Western Ontario 7:45.22
9 Dalhousie University 7:47.33 C
10 Université Laval 7:52.69 C

Est-ce Laval devra-ils même être dans la conversation? It could get ugly. Or, we could see a Laval team that has not really raced against any real quick competition yet. J.S. Lapointe has to be named among the big guns, and if Laval is within range when he gets the baton last (assuming that’s the order coach J-P goes with), then he just might have a few anglos for dinner. The question up front is can Windsor catch Calgary and Victoria after the Lancers have been racing 600 and 1k?

Femmes: Start List
1 University of Windsor 8:47.61 S
2 University of Guelph 8:49.98 S
3 University of Victoria 8:59.91 S
4 McGill University 9:05.82 S
5 University of Alberta 9:08.18 C
6 Dalhousie University 9:09.24 C
7 University of Saskatchewan 9:12.44
8 University of Toronto 9:13.87
9 University of Manitoba 9:14.73
10 McMaster University 9:15.23

Oh, hum, Windsor vs. Guelph, then the rest of the field. Actually, it is surprising to see McMaster so far back, but then again, they are more of a long-distance group, more cross-country than track. Still, I would expect a little more from them. McGill’s women find themselves ranked 4th. DB always manages to get his middle-distance women ready to roll. The Martlet’s are probably Quebec’s second-best hope for a distance medal after J.S. Lapointe in the men’s 1000m.

1500m
Hommes: Start List
1 Boorsma, Kyle University of Guelph 3:44.92 S
2 Berkis, Anthony University of Windsor 3:46.32 S
3 Hulse, Matt Queen’s University 3:48.45 S
4 Robertson, Karl University of Victoria 3:49.34 S
5 Walters, Matt University of Windsor 3:49.62 S
6 Genest, Alex University of Guelph 3:50.89 S
7 Brett, Allan University of Guelph 3:50.91 S
8 Proudfoot, Ross University of Guelph 3:51.41 S
9 Aguanno, Andrew University of Windsor 3:52.35
10 Brown, Alastair Lakehead University 3:52.43
11 Lavoie, Olivier Universite de Sherbrooke 3:53.63 C
12 Childs, Cliff University of Victoria 3:55.39 C

The last distance event of the weekend, the 1500m, is always a tactical affair at CIS. With Boorsma in near-sub-4min mile shape, and 4 other guys under 3:50, it would be foolish for anyone to think that the ranking order will be upset by a slow start and a fast finish. The pure distance guys like Proudfoot will want to push the pace if they want to beat any of the top seeds. Pour Olivier Lavoie, encore, il me semble qu’il vaut mieux que son 3:53, mais on va voir. Dans les compétitions au Québec, il peut s’assurer que son kick va démolir tout autre coureur. Mais au CIS, il serait peut-être mieux to prendre le lead, surprendre ses adversaires et essayer d’utiliser l’énergie des partisans du Vert et Or.

Femmes: Start List
1 Cliff, Rachel University of Guelph 4:24.60 S
2 Biewald, Jennie University of Guelph 4:28.65 S
3 Frost, Nadine University of Guelph 4:30.14 S
4 Frost, Lydia University of Guelph 4:30.15 S
5 Bays, Jennifer University of Western Ontario 4:31.13 C
6 Schlosser, Caroline Dalhousie University 4:31.56
7 MacDonald, Madeline University of Calgary 4:32.78 C
8 Ryer, Ashley Dalhousie University 4:33.31 C
9 Haliburton, Sarah McMaster University 4:34.56
10 Richards, Marcia University of Saskatchewan 4:35.32 C
11 McCuaig, Sarah McGill University 4:35.38 C
12 Laurie, Courtney University of Guelph 4:36.06

Rachel Cliff does not have as much of a stranglehold on this event as she does in the 3000m. What she does have is a pack of teammates to help her dictate the pace. Whatever Guelph wants to do with this race, they will. If one of the other women wants to break-up the party, she’s going to have to make a strong move. Essentially, if Guelph wants to run it hard and shake out the kickers, there’s not much anyone is going to do about it but hang on. If they want to keep it slow, then someone, maybe from Calgary or Saskatchewan, or maybe McGill’s Sarah McGuaig, is going to want to take it out. Remember, the team title will be in play at this point, and the Gryphons are going to want to maximize their point totals from this event.